Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 86.233061 96.291129 106.526823 117.691920 129.497696 141.581132 154.855151
2025-08-31 69.571142 84.009066 99.319394 116.638544 135.566656 155.516383 178.025854
2025-09-07 60.839345 77.867290 96.469667 118.046228 142.146243 168.023639 197.703907
2025-09-14 54.408627 73.372008 94.637184 119.829578 148.474065 179.689755 215.952255
2025-09-21 47.685778 67.806562 90.962657 118.957325 151.321025 187.068329 229.070554
2025-09-28 41.198969 61.917813 86.402807 116.602788 152.077344 191.760195 238.879169
2025-10-05 38.984101 61.014801 87.550903 120.741199 160.154765 204.619561 257.784177
2025-10-12 36.280301 59.244260 87.451905 123.230973 166.176427 215.026545 273.824900
2025-10-19 32.446650 55.709775 84.942243 122.613149 168.369328 220.886755 284.555243
2025-10-26 29.033369 52.463222 82.581387 121.994769 170.410856 226.451221 294.844235
2025-11-02 26.515155 50.239383 81.372471 122.672336 173.906047 233.637500 306.947930
2025-11-09 23.631460 47.275929 79.032592 121.791285 175.396442 238.372681 316.124759
2025-11-16 21.385783 45.094811 77.646259 122.080913 178.321291 244.847061 327.413557
2025-11-23 18.834128 42.248706 75.218829 120.920680 179.373714 249.031153 335.972565
2025-11-30 17.385883 40.976169 74.856524 122.371612 183.621824 257.013881 348.995677
2025-12-07 16.176648 39.981280 74.812403 124.189593 188.295301 265.489192 362.593941
2025-12-14 14.270118 37.673935 72.795801 123.299685 189.479898 269.681146 371.047447
2025-12-21 12.133620 34.752381 69.742054 120.896111 188.642135 271.332263 376.397949
2025-12-28 11.903917 35.171787 71.575890 125.120333 196.302852 283.410168 394.295736
2026-01-04 11.268402 34.796147 72.194659 127.661119 201.783317 292.803538 408.963784
2026-01-11 9.928414 32.974857 70.556661 127.030678 203.112764 297.041913 417.381171
2026-01-18 8.709842 31.243727 68.966745 126.399643 204.391386 301.181626 425.652796
2026-01-25 7.871213 30.176720 68.349005 127.091075 207.373729 307.423135 436.469752